Early voting kicked off Saturday in Michigan's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary, and the race is already being decided by PAC money and party bosses — not the voters who just started showing up to the polls.

Three Democrats are fighting for the nomination: progressive organizer Will Lawrence, former U.S. Ambassador Bridget Brink, and former Navy SEAL Matt Maasdam. But the real battle is playing out on the airwaves, where a tangle of outside groups — some with suspicious cross-party ties — are spending big to shape the outcome before ordinary Democrats have their say.

Maasdam landed the endorsement of Sen. Elissa Slotkin, the Democrat who previously held the seat — the kind of institutional stamp that signals where party operators want this race to go. But that establishment backing has made him a target. A group called Michigan Sunrise PAC, formed just last week, is running ads attacking Maasdam as a "dark money backed Florida Republican" while boosting Lawrence's progressive credentials. The Lansing State Journal reported that Michigan Sunrise PAC shares a media buyer with a separate PAC that CNN says "meddled" in a New York congressional primary — raising questions about whether Republican-linked operatives are attempting to tip the Democratic field.

"They're scared to face a Navy SEAL in the fall," Maasdam said of the ads. "The voters of Michigan's 7th aren't fooled by your lies."

Brink is catching fire too. Michigan Values PAC, which uses the same media buyer as the pro-Maasdam group VoteVets, is hitting her for being "Trump's hand-picked ambassador" — a reference to her diplomatic service. And Lawrence is being targeted by Democratic-linked Crush MAGA PAC, which is attacking him for investing in "Big Oil, Wall Street and data centers" through an $11,000 retirement account.

Lawrence dismissed the Republican-linked ads boosting him as "stupid" and said face-to-face conversations cut through the noise because "people know they can't believe what they see on TV or online because of AI and misinformation." His campaign says grassroots volunteers have knocked roughly 55,000 doors.

But door-knocking is a thin defense against the flood of outside cash. When PACs with shared media buyers and murky origins are scripting the narrative on all sides, the question is whether any voter in the 7th District is making a genuinely informed choice — or just ratifying what party operators and shadowy spenders already decided.

Roughly 50 people had voted at one of Lansing's two early voting locations by mid-afternoon Saturday. Early voting runs through Aug. 2. The primary is Aug. 4. The voters have a narrow window to make this race their own before the PACs close it for them.