President Trump will unveil FBI data Friday showing the largest single-year drop in violent crime ever recorded — proof that letting police do their jobs and sealing the border delivers results for ordinary Americans.
The president visits the Nassau County Police Academy on Long Island to release the 2025 Crime Statistics Report alongside Attorney General Todd Blanche and FBI Director Kash Patel. The numbers are striking: murder and nonnegligent manslaughter down over 18%, robbery falling 18.5%, rape dropping nearly 8%, and aggravated assault declining just over 7%. Property crimes fell too — burglaries down roughly 16%, larceny-theft about 10%, and motor vehicle theft plummeting 23%. Patel, a Long Island native, said the figures represent "the single largest decrease in violent crime and murder since 1937."
White House spokesperson Lauren Bis put it plainly: "President Trump promised to make America safe again and the data proves he has done just that. Unlike Defund-the-Police Democrats, President Trump will always stand with our law enforcement officers and deliver safer American neighborhoods."
Both the White House and Nassau County officials credit the drop to ramped-up deportations, the surge in ICE raids, and the sealed border. Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman — Trump's endorsed candidate for governor against Democrat Kathy Hochul — said the border closure is driving the national decline. "I think crime is down in many places in the United States because we have sealed the borders," Blakeman said. He also credited Nassau's own ICE cooperation deal for a roughly 4% local crime drop — a deal New York's Democrat-run state government has outlawed, prompting Blakeman to sue.
The Associated Press framed the visit as a political maneuver to boost Republicans in midterms, burying the specific crime statistics deep in its report and leading instead with Trump's "lagging approval ratings and a deeply unpopular war in Iran with no end in sight." The New York Post led with the historic crime numbers and the enforcement connection. Read both and you get two entirely different stories from the same set of facts.
Hochul's camp fired back. Campaign spokesperson Ryan Radulovacki claimed the governor "has invested billions in public safety" and accused Blakeman of presiding over violent crime spiking to "decade highs" while denouncing "Trump's unaccountable ICE agents." Voters can weigh the records: one side wants more ICE cooperation; the other's party banned it.
The visit also puts two Democratic House seats in play — Rep. Tom Suozzi in the 3rd District and Rep. Lauren Gillen in the 4th — both in Nassau County, which Trump flipped in 2024 for the first time in over two decades. Protests are planned but confined to designated areas.
The open question: will voters trust the numbers on their streets, or the press telling them it's just a photo op?
