One thing I think people need to consider is SN 20 and similar flights are technically suborbital. So we could be seeing several flights that splash down in the Pacific. Followed by high altitude hops where they attempt to catch boosters and Starships. Then ending 2022 with up to 5 attempts at a fully orbital Starship that returns to Starbase.... Honestly that sounds like a pretty full year of testing to me.
I would also suspect by 2023 we will have a Republican House and Senate. As well as a President Harris. These changes may well produce a less obstructionist FAA.
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