Preston Park is discussing:

The death toll from the coronavirus is predicted to rise to 2,271 on April 15 alone, the model analysis by the University of Washington School of Medicine shows.

I've been tracking #wuhanvirus data pretty closely for a couple of weeks now. My forecasts have been lower and more accurate for a couple of days now. Others' forecasts are based on last 7 days data. Mine go back to March 13 (first day over 2000 cases). I expect the actual number to be near their lower bound of uncertainty. In other words, it will stay under 1500. https://twitter.com/pjparkjd/status/1244633687456649217

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